Russia’s Loss of Perception of Its Global Stature After Invading Ukraine – Analysis – Eurasia Review


Four months later after Russia invades Ukraine in 2022, unless Russia uses the “nuclear option” or capitulates to “direct talks” with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy (condition of the Ukraine for Ceasefire Dialogue), the resurgent Russia’s global strategic stature remains severely blunted and thus also its quest for re-emergence as an alternative global power center.

Russia consequently suffered heavy losses due to its inability to impose overwhelming Russian military power on a virtually defenseless Ukraine in an all-out war in which Russia wanted the world to believe that the Russian invasion of Ukraine was a “special operation”.

Russia’s perceived loss of “global strategic stature” following the invasion of Ukraine and the ensuing implications must be considered on several fronts to grasp the significance of the significant damage inflicted on Russia’s global strategic stature. Russia by Russian President Putin. Timed “War of Choices”

Geopolitically, Russia in June 2022 is diminished and will no longer be seen as an alternative center of power to rival the United States. Russia now stands diplomatically isolated in world affairs with its dubious support resting in China, North Korea and Pakistan.

Russia has lost a lot after the invasion of Ukraine on its long-standing strategic partnership with India. India may have backed down from outright condemnations from Russia at the United Nations and bought cheap Russian oil under embargo, but in India Russian military adventurism is widely condemned.

The Indians draw parallels with similar Chinese military adventurism against India on the Himalayan borders with Chinese-occupied Tibet.

After the invasion of Ukraine, Russia was pushed more intensely into China’s strategic and economic embrace, reducing Russia to a client state dependent on China. Current indications are that Russia has limited geopolitical, strategic and economic space to pull itself out of the Chinese abyss. This reduces Russia’s global levers.

The United States and NATO are in an undeclared “state of war” with Russia during its invasion of Ukraine. What is unfolding is a proxy war intensely engineered by them to “bleed Russian power” in Ukraine, strategically weakening Russia.

In overall strategic terms, Russia has for some years been seen as China’s B team. After the invasion of Ukraine, Russia’s only counterweight to Western powers in terms of stark realism is limited only to China and the Russia-China axis. This is a degrading loss of global strategic stature for Russia as a former superpower rivaling the United States, with China then nowhere in sight.

Consequently, Russia’s global stature in terms of strategic and military strength and combat effectiveness is severely shaken. Russia’s losses of personnel, military equipment and equipment were heavy and, with a weakened Russian economy, it would take decades to recover.

In my very first Eurasia analysis of Ukraine on March 5, 2022, I predicted that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would eventually become Russia’s “Afghanistan 2.0.” Precisely, the deployment of military developments with unprecedented Ukrainian resistance, bolstered by increasingly advanced military weapons supplied by the United States and NATO, has led to a “hemorrhage of Russian military might” in Ukraine.

Perceptually, Russia’s strategic loss becomes more indicative of the overall perception of its strategic power, as 24/7 television media coverage from the Ukrainian theater of war visually highlights Russian losses to its tanks. , APCs, attack helicopters and battleships of the Russian Navy torpedoed and sunk. in the Black Sea by the Ukrainian resistance. In addition, the Russian army suffered heavy personnel losses, in the thousands, including half a dozen Russian army generals.

Ukraine has also suffered greatly from the Russian military’s indiscriminate bombardment of urban centers and civilian infrastructure. But what has come to the fore is that four months later, Russia has failed miserably in breaking the “national will” of the Ukrainian people to submit to Russian military power.

Summarizing Russia’s military losses during its invasion of Ukraine, it is quite evident that Russia’s overwhelming conventional military power has been militarily ineffective, with the military prowess of the Russian military relying on the use massive firepower are questionable, as is the “combat will” of the Russian army. .

Economically, Russia’s economic strength and resilience are emasculated by US and Western sanctions applied after the invasion of Ukraine. The Russian economy will be further strangled by Western sanctions if Russian President Putin persists in “turning defeat into victory”.

Russia’s vast energy resources on which high world prices relied on Russian economic stability and which provided a $400 billion military buildup are now threatened by tough Western economic sanctions.

Economic deprivation is likely to fuel domestic political discontent with serious implications for the stability of the Russian state. The first indicators are already emerging in the foreground.

In conclusion, what can be summarized is that Russian President Putin’s “war of choice” during the invasion of Ukraine has gone wrong and not only endangers President Putin’s longevity in power at the helm of Russia, but more seriously set Russia back several decades in its quest for reconquest. its global stature as an alternative center of power.

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